In what I'm thinking may be something of an outlier, the George (H.W.) Bush Library at Texas A&M University (Gig 'Em!) has released its updated straw poll, showing Governor Romney leading President Obama by... wait for it... 32 points.
The results as of July 3 are: Gov. Romney 4,034 (62.41 percent); President Obama 1,974 (30.54 percent); and Third Party 456 (7.05 percent).
The Library's press release notes that the poll "is not scientific and does not represent an endorsement of any particular candidate or party by the George Bush Presidential Library and Museum or the National Archives and Records Administration."
Just to be clear, Gallup (which is a scientific poll) shows Obama leading Romney in the largely meaningless national tracking poll, 48% to 43%, http://www.gallup.com/poll/155465/Obama-Leads-Romney.aspx">his largest lead since April.